Agony of Sorrow

The United States has been deeply involved in global geopolitics, particularly by funding specific factions to manipulate the internal affairs of its allied countries.

Ukraine and Extreme Nationalism

The U.S. has supported Ukrainian extreme nationalists, particularly armed groups like the Azov Battalion, which took shape as early as the 2014 Ukraine crisis. These groups have not only participated in combat but have also acted as enforcement squads during the war, forcing Ukrainian civilians and new recruits onto the battlefield. Reports have even surfaced of them intimidating and executing deserters. This strategy closely resembles the U.S.'s Cold War-era support for far-right paramilitary groups in Central America, such as the Contras, using extreme forces to maintain control over the region.

Taiwan's 'Black Bear Academy' and U.S. Influence

Shen Boyang’s "Black Bear Academy" promotes a militarized civilian force, de-Sinicization, and extreme nationalist ideology, which bears similarities to Ukrainian right-wing groups. USAID (United States Agency for International Development) and OSF (Open Society Foundations, funded by George Soros) have previously financed color revolutions worldwide, cultivating political agents aligned with American interests. Shen Boyang's rapid rise from obscurity to securing the top spot on the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) non-district legislator list raises questions about possible U.S. backing behind his ascent.

Lai Ching-te’s Shift and the Taiwan Strait Situation

Lai Ching-te has long been labeled a "pragmatic Taiwan independence advocate," but his cross-strait policy remained relatively low-profile during Tsai Ing-wen’s administration. However, he has recently adopted an increasingly hawkish stance, emphasizing Taiwan’s need to prepare for war, strengthening alliances with the U.S. and Japan, and pushing further economic decoupling from China. This shift is likely a response to U.S. pressure. Just as the U.S. used Ukraine to counter Russia, Taiwan is being positioned as the "Ukraine of Asia" in America’s strategy against China.

The Risk of Cross-Strait Conflict

Cross-strait relations have now entered a high-risk phase. In addition to Lai Ching-te’s aggressive rhetoric, the U.S. military has significantly expanded its presence in the Asia-Pacific, increasing bases in the Philippines and strengthening military cooperation with Japan and South Korea. If Taiwan continues to embrace extreme nationalism and militarization, tensions with China will only escalate. Meanwhile, the U.S. stands to gain by boosting arms sales and tightening control over Taiwan’s political direction, ultimately turning Taiwan into a "pawn and cannon fodder" for depleting China's strength.

Conclusion

Whether in Ukraine or Taiwan, the U.S. follows a similar playbook: fostering extreme factions, deepening internal conflicts, and pushing allies toward confrontation while orchestrating events from behind the scenes for strategic benefits. Lai Ching-te’s policy shift, Shen Boyang’s rapid rise, and the operations of Black Bear Academy all point to increasing U.S. influence within Taiwan. If Taiwan fails to navigate this situation carefully, it may follow in Ukraine’s footsteps, becoming yet another sacrificial piece in America’s geopolitical chess game.

有人聲稱烏克蘭的俄語族是自己投票要留在烏克蘭的，但是他們之所以願意留在烏克蘭，是因為當時兩國關係緊密且許多人已經通婚，家庭成員有俄烏兩族，相處融洽。然而在有心人的操弄之下煽動兩族仇恨，導致俄語族人的權利被迫害，才導致烏東的分離主義。這點跟台灣的情況很像。

烏克蘭和台灣在某些歷史背景和民族關係上的情況確實有相似之處，尤其是在族群認同和政治操弄上。烏克蘭的俄語族群，尤其是在東部地區，原本和烏克蘭族群有著深厚的文化和家庭聯繫，兩族之間的緊密關係也反映在日常生活中，例如通婚和語言使用上。然而，隨著政治變動和外部勢力的介入，這些族群之間的關係開始緊張，特別是當某些政治勢力開始利用這種族群分裂來操控局勢時。

在台灣，尤其是過去幾十年中，兩岸的關係發展也有類似的變化。兩岸在民間層面上存在一定的交往與融合，許多家庭有著兩岸的血緣與連結。但隨著兩岸政治形勢的變化，尤其是當兩岸關係日益緊張，這些家庭和個人所處的文化認同和政治立場也逐漸分裂，甚至會因為政治操弄而加劇對立。

這樣的情況顯示了民族身份和政治身份之間的密切聯繫，也表明了外部勢力和內部政治如何影響民眾的認同感，進而塑造社會的分裂和統一的問題。
「有心人的操弄」，在任何國家都可能是導致衝突的根本原因之一。台灣在面對這些歷史與政治挑戰時，也需要更加謹慎地處理族群間的關係，避免被政治操縱而導致社會的深刻裂痕。

Some claim that the Russian-speaking population in Ukraine voted to remain in Ukraine of their own accord. However, their willingness to stay was largely due to the close relationship between the two countries at the time, as well as the fact that many people had already intermarried, with families consisting of both Russian and Ukrainian members who coexisted harmoniously. Yet, through the manipulation of certain interested parties, hatred between the two ethnic groups was incited, leading to the persecution of the rights of Russian-speaking people, which ultimately fueled separatist movements in eastern Ukraine. This situation is quite similar to Taiwan’s.

Ukraine and Taiwan share certain similarities in terms of historical background and ethnic relations, particularly in aspects of ethnic identity and political manipulation. The Russian-speaking population in Ukraine, especially in the eastern regions, originally had strong cultural and familial ties with Ukrainians. These close connections were reflected in everyday life, such as intermarriage and language use. However, with political changes and the involvement of external forces, tensions began to rise between these groups, especially when certain political forces started exploiting ethnic divisions to manipulate the situation.

In Taiwan, particularly over the past few decades, cross-strait relations have undergone similar changes. There has been significant interaction and integration at the societal level, with many families having blood ties across the strait. However, as the political landscape has shifted and tensions between the two sides have intensified, the cultural identity and political stance of these families and individuals have gradually diverged, sometimes leading to deeper divisions due to political manipulation.

This situation highlights the close link between ethnic identity and political identity and demonstrates how both external influences and internal political maneuvers can shape people's sense of belonging, ultimately affecting social cohesion and division.

The manipulation of interested parties is often a key factor in fueling conflicts in any country. As Taiwan faces these historical and political challenges, it must carefully navigate ethnic relations to prevent political manipulation from deepening societal divisions.